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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.90+4.11vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.75+3.55vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.85+2.29vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.95+1.12vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.41+1.72vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.87-1.64vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23+2.23vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.45-2.56vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.54-3.79vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58-1.70vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut1.13-1.55vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.76-1.55vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College0.67-2.39vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.05-8.34vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-2.63vs Predicted
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18Amherst College-1.32-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.11Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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5.55Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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5.29Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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5.12University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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6.72Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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5.36Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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10.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.0%1st Place
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6.44Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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6.21Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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9.3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
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10.45University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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11.45University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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11.61Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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7.66Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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14.37University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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15.12Amherst College-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Moody | 12.7% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 11.7% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 12.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 11.7% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 10.8% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Queisser | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 11.9% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| John Silvestri | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Morgan | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Jennifer Lee | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 6.8% | 0.7% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 19.8% | 12.6% | 2.6% |
| Meghan Colwell | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 21.9% | 11.6% | 2.5% |
| Sam Gates | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 39.8% | 31.6% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 7.4% | 22.4% | 61.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.