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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary-0.67+3.13vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.59+0.44vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.73-0.79vs Predicted
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4American University-0.91+0.28vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh-0.70-0.92vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-0.40-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13William and Mary-0.677.8%1st Place
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2.44Christopher Newport University0.5930.6%1st Place
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2.21Virginia Tech0.7336.7%1st Place
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4.28American University-0.918.1%1st Place
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4.08University of Pittsburgh-0.707.5%1st Place
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3.86Catholic University of America-0.409.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Hudson | 7.8% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 19.9% | 23.1% | 24.5% |
| Luke Hayes | 30.6% | 26.1% | 22.2% | 12.7% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Aidan Young | 36.7% | 28.6% | 18.2% | 11.1% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Anika Liner | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 17.2% | 21.7% | 31.1% |
| Olivia Kearns | 7.5% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 18.8% | 23.2% | 23.2% |
| Clare Wagner | 9.3% | 13.0% | 17.7% | 20.4% | 21.4% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.