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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.85+4.22vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.41+4.59vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.75+2.61vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.54+2.38vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.05+2.80vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.76+5.50vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.95-1.88vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.90-2.94vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.87-3.76vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.45-3.40vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58-1.83vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23-1.79vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut1.13-3.54vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College0.67-4.42vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-2.66vs Predicted
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18Amherst College-1.32-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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6.59Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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5.61Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.38Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.8Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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11.5University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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5.12University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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5.06Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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5.24Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.6Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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9.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
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10.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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11.58Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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14.34University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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15.13Amherst College-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Dumke | 11.0% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 11.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Gates | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 19.5% | 12.4% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 13.3% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 13.0% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Morgan | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Robert Queisser | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 5.6% | 0.6% |
| Jennifer Lee | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 6.0% | 0.6% |
| Meghan Colwell | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 22.7% | 11.8% | 3.0% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 11.2% | 38.5% | 31.9% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 7.1% | 22.2% | 61.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.