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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.73+1.17vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.48+0.54vs Predicted
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3American University-0.91+1.36vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.67+0.10vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh-0.70-0.93vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-0.40-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Virginia Tech0.7338.0%1st Place
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2.54Christopher Newport University0.4828.6%1st Place
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4.36American University-0.917.2%1st Place
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4.1William and Mary-0.677.1%1st Place
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4.07University of Pittsburgh-0.708.6%1st Place
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3.76Catholic University of America-0.4010.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 38.0% | 29.0% | 17.6% | 9.9% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| David Grace | 28.6% | 25.8% | 20.5% | 15.4% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Anika Liner | 7.2% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 21.8% | 33.3% |
| Julia Hudson | 7.1% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 21.1% | 20.9% | 24.1% |
| Olivia Kearns | 8.6% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 18.1% | 23.4% | 23.5% |
| Clare Wagner | 10.5% | 13.0% | 19.7% | 19.1% | 22.1% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.