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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.45+5.17vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.54+3.99vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.31+3.66vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.41+2.55vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.87+0.14vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.04-1.34vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.85-1.76vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.72-2.64vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-0.66+4.81vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.34-3.34vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58-4.17vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-0.02vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23-5.19vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.76-5.06vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College0.67-5.66vs Predicted
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18Amherst College-1.32-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.99Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.66Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.55Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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5.14Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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4.66Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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5.24Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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5.36University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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13.81University of Connecticut-0.660.0%1st Place
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6.66Connecticut College2.340.1%1st Place
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8.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
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13.98University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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9.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.0%1st Place
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10.94University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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11.34Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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14.86Amherst College-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Silvestri | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Barclift | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Camille Matile | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 11.3% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alp Rodopman | 14.1% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 12.8% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 11.9% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mairead Loschi | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 10.3% | 21.6% | 29.4% | 22.1% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Morgan | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 11.3% | 19.9% | 29.1% | 24.8% |
| Robert Queisser | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 11.4% | 17.1% | 19.6% | 13.5% | 6.4% | 0.5% |
| Meghan Colwell | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 17.2% | 19.9% | 17.7% | 7.4% | 1.4% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 12.4% | 23.9% | 50.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.