Race 1A

np6-uncw

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Gregory Walters 23.5% 19.7% 16.9% 13.9% 11.9% 6.5% 4.0% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Hogan O'Donnell 8.6% 10.2% 11.3% 11.1% 11.8% 12.6% 13.9% 13.3% 6.1% 1.1%
Nilah Miller 15.7% 14.1% 14.2% 12.7% 13.2% 11.6% 9.3% 6.3% 2.5% 0.4%
William Smith 9.8% 10.2% 11.6% 13.2% 12.2% 13.7% 11.6% 11.5% 5.1% 1.3%
Megan Ploch 13.5% 14.3% 14.4% 14.6% 11.8% 12.8% 8.8% 6.2% 3.0% 0.4%
Ian Street 12.5% 13.6% 11.3% 12.8% 13.6% 12.6% 12.4% 8.0% 3.0% 0.2%
Harrison Reisinger 7.0% 7.1% 9.2% 9.0% 10.2% 11.8% 16.0% 15.2% 10.8% 3.5%
Thompson Betts 6.3% 7.3% 6.8% 8.0% 10.6% 11.9% 13.7% 18.1% 13.4% 3.9%
Chris Straub 1.8% 2.1% 2.6% 2.9% 2.8% 3.8% 6.2% 10.7% 32.8% 34.5%
Thea Genet 1.3% 1.4% 1.7% 1.9% 1.9% 2.9% 4.2% 7.8% 22.3% 54.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.