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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.45+5.16vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.85+3.12vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.87+2.09vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.54+2.11vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.72+0.54vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23+3.90vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.04-2.31vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.31-1.39vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.41-3.60vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.34-4.31vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58-3.18vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.76-1.99vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-1.03vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College0.67-4.85vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.66-3.10vs Predicted
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18Amherst College-1.32-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.12Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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5.09Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.11Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.54University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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9.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.0%1st Place
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4.69Tufts University3.040.2%1st Place
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6.61Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.4Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.69Connecticut College2.340.1%1st Place
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8.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
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11.01University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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13.97University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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11.15Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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13.9University of Connecticut-0.660.0%1st Place
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14.85Amherst College-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Silvestri | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 12.7% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 13.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Queisser | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Alp Rodopman | 15.5% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Barclift | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Morgan | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 19.9% | 15.6% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 18.6% | 32.8% | 22.4% |
| Meghan Colwell | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 16.3% | 19.6% | 15.1% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| Mairead Loschi | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 5.6% | 10.3% | 22.9% | 29.5% | 22.1% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 6.2% | 13.0% | 21.2% | 51.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.