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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
William Smith 10.3% 11.2% 11.5% 11.9% 12.6% 13.4% 12.4% 10.2% 5.5% 1.1%
Hogan O'Donnell 9.3% 9.4% 10.8% 11.8% 11.0% 14.0% 14.1% 12.2% 5.9% 1.4%
Megan Ploch 13.4% 14.9% 14.8% 12.9% 12.0% 11.1% 9.8% 7.5% 3.2% 0.4%
Nilah Miller 13.6% 13.6% 13.7% 13.7% 14.1% 12.2% 10.2% 6.2% 2.5% 0.2%
Gregory Walters 23.6% 20.3% 16.1% 13.9% 11.3% 6.7% 4.9% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Thompson Betts 6.1% 6.7% 7.3% 8.2% 9.6% 11.9% 14.1% 17.5% 14.5% 4.0%
Ian Street 13.3% 12.7% 14.0% 13.3% 12.8% 12.5% 10.5% 7.8% 2.9% 0.3%
Harrison Reisinger 7.3% 7.8% 8.4% 9.8% 10.9% 10.9% 14.2% 17.5% 10.0% 3.0%
Chris Straub 2.0% 2.0% 2.1% 2.5% 3.8% 4.2% 5.8% 11.1% 31.0% 35.5%
Thea Genet 1.1% 1.4% 1.2% 2.1% 1.9% 3.2% 4.0% 7.3% 23.8% 54.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.