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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.43+3.86vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.91+3.10vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology0.46+1.28vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.73+0.27vs Predicted
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5The Citadel1.22-1.75vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.01+0.04vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina0.63-2.62vs Predicted
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8University of Tennessee-0.08-2.32vs Predicted
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9Wake Forest University-1.36-0.70vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-1.82-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.4310.3%1st Place
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5.1North Carolina State University0.919.3%1st Place
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4.28Georgia Institute of Technology0.4613.4%1st Place
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4.27Clemson University0.7313.6%1st Place
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3.25The Citadel1.2223.6%1st Place
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6.04University of North Carolina-0.016.1%1st Place
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4.38University of South Carolina0.6313.3%1st Place
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5.68University of Tennessee-0.087.3%1st Place
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8.3Wake Forest University-1.362.0%1st Place
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8.85University of Georgia-1.821.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
William Smith | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
Hogan O'Donnell | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
Megan Ploch | 13.4% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
Nilah Miller | 13.6% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
Gregory Walters | 23.6% | 20.3% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Thompson Betts | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 4.0% |
Ian Street | 13.3% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
Harrison Reisinger | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 17.5% | 10.0% | 3.0% |
Chris Straub | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 11.1% | 31.0% | 35.5% |
Thea Genet | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 23.8% | 54.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.