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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.04+3.53vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.54+3.98vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.45+3.26vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.87+1.15vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.41+1.36vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58+1.95vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.72-2.49vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23+0.73vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.34-3.40vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.31-4.25vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.85-6.88vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College0.67-1.80vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.66-0.09vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-1.07vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.76-4.87vs Predicted
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17Amherst College-1.32-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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5.98Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.26Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.15Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.36Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
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5.51University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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9.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.0%1st Place
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6.6Connecticut College2.340.1%1st Place
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6.75Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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5.12Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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11.2Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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13.91University of Connecticut-0.660.0%1st Place
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13.93University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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11.13University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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14.88Amherst College-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alp Rodopman | 14.6% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 9.0% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 12.9% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Morgan | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Cushing | 10.8% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Queisser | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 17.5% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Barclift | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 14.1% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Colwell | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 21.2% | 14.0% | 7.4% | 2.3% |
| Mairead Loschi | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 12.1% | 21.6% | 28.8% | 22.5% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 9.5% | 22.0% | 29.6% | 22.6% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 16.9% | 19.5% | 16.3% | 5.7% | 1.2% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 11.2% | 24.3% | 51.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.