Race 3A

np6-uncw

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Nilah Miller 13.7% 14.8% 13.1% 13.4% 13.1% 11.2% 10.2% 7.2% 2.9% 0.7%
Thompson Betts 6.9% 6.5% 6.8% 8.2% 9.7% 11.9% 14.7% 17.6% 12.3% 5.6%
Gregory Walters 26.2% 20.4% 16.9% 12.6% 9.7% 7.6% 4.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Hogan O'Donnell 9.5% 10.7% 10.8% 11.7% 11.2% 13.6% 12.7% 11.5% 6.5% 1.8%
Megan Ploch 13.4% 12.8% 14.1% 14.0% 13.0% 11.6% 9.8% 7.8% 2.9% 0.5%
Harrison Reisinger 7.3% 7.1% 8.8% 8.8% 11.7% 12.6% 15.4% 15.6% 9.4% 3.4%
Ian Street 11.5% 13.2% 14.3% 14.2% 12.9% 12.0% 9.7% 8.3% 3.1% 0.7%
William Smith 9.2% 10.8% 11.1% 12.3% 12.9% 12.5% 12.4% 12.1% 5.5% 1.1%
Thea Genet 0.5% 1.7% 1.5% 2.0% 2.3% 2.6% 5.0% 6.9% 21.9% 55.6%
Chris Straub 1.8% 2.1% 2.6% 2.9% 3.6% 4.5% 6.0% 11.2% 34.8% 30.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.