← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University2.45+5.19vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.87+3.07vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.04+1.62vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58+4.01vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.85-0.87vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University2.54-0.90vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College2.34-1.34vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23+0.70vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.31-3.35vs Predicted
-
11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+2.94vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island2.72-6.49vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University2.41-6.55vs Predicted
-
14Middlebury College0.67-2.81vs Predicted
-
15University of New Hampshire0.76-4.02vs Predicted
-
17University of Connecticut-0.66-3.10vs Predicted
-
18Amherst College-1.32-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.19Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
-
5.07Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
-
4.62Tufts University3.040.2%1st Place
-
9.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
-
5.13Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
-
6.1Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
-
6.66Connecticut College2.340.1%1st Place
-
9.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.0%1st Place
-
6.65Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
-
13.94University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
-
5.51University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
-
6.45Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
-
11.19Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
-
10.98University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
-
13.9University of Connecticut-0.660.0%1st Place
-
14.89Amherst College-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Silvestri | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 12.2% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alp Rodopman | 15.4% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Morgan | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 12.0% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Queisser | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Barclift | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 9.3% | 22.7% | 29.2% | 24.3% |
| Samuel Cushing | 11.9% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 7.3% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Colwell | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 22.1% | 13.3% | 7.9% | 0.8% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 22.2% | 12.9% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Mairead Loschi | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 9.8% | 23.0% | 30.8% | 21.9% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 12.8% | 23.4% | 51.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.