Race 4A

np6-uncw

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Gregory Walters 24.6% 20.2% 15.1% 14.8% 11.2% 6.9% 3.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Nilah Miller 12.3% 14.6% 14.5% 13.6% 11.8% 12.3% 10.9% 7.0% 2.5% 0.4%
Hogan O'Donnell 9.7% 10.3% 10.0% 12.6% 11.2% 13.3% 12.8% 13.0% 5.6% 1.6%
Harrison Reisinger 6.9% 6.7% 9.2% 9.0% 10.9% 12.2% 15.0% 15.1% 11.8% 3.1%
Thompson Betts 5.7% 6.0% 6.8% 8.3% 10.0% 13.2% 14.8% 18.1% 12.8% 4.4%
Megan Ploch 14.7% 14.8% 14.2% 11.8% 11.9% 11.9% 10.0% 7.7% 2.6% 0.4%
Ian Street 12.5% 13.1% 15.2% 13.4% 13.8% 11.7% 9.3% 7.6% 3.0% 0.4%
William Smith 11.2% 10.9% 10.8% 12.0% 13.2% 11.8% 12.8% 10.6% 5.3% 1.1%
Chris Straub 1.5% 2.0% 2.2% 2.9% 3.7% 4.3% 5.8% 11.1% 34.2% 32.3%
Thea Genet 0.9% 1.3% 2.0% 1.6% 2.2% 2.2% 4.7% 7.3% 21.4% 56.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.