Race 5A

np6-uncw

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Gregory Walters 23.9% 20.0% 17.0% 14.0% 11.6% 6.5% 4.1% 2.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Harrison Reisinger 7.7% 7.1% 8.7% 9.7% 10.5% 11.8% 16.0% 15.2% 10.4% 2.9%
Nilah Miller 12.1% 14.7% 12.5% 13.7% 14.1% 13.1% 9.5% 6.6% 3.1% 0.7%
Hogan O'Donnell 10.0% 9.4% 10.5% 11.3% 12.6% 12.2% 12.8% 12.7% 6.9% 1.6%
Megan Ploch 12.8% 15.0% 12.8% 13.9% 12.3% 11.8% 9.8% 8.1% 2.9% 0.4%
Ian Street 13.1% 14.2% 13.9% 13.5% 11.9% 12.8% 9.7% 7.5% 2.9% 0.4%
William Smith 10.4% 11.3% 12.2% 11.1% 12.0% 12.6% 13.3% 11.3% 4.4% 1.4%
Thompson Betts 6.9% 5.2% 8.2% 8.1% 9.4% 11.9% 13.5% 18.5% 14.2% 4.0%
Chris Straub 1.9% 1.6% 2.4% 2.8% 3.5% 4.0% 6.7% 11.2% 33.7% 32.3%
Thea Genet 1.2% 1.3% 1.8% 2.1% 2.0% 3.2% 4.8% 6.7% 20.9% 56.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.