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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.43+3.97vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.91+3.18vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.73+1.29vs Predicted
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4The Citadel1.22-0.88vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.01+0.99vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina0.63-1.73vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology0.46-2.68vs Predicted
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8University of Tennessee-0.08-2.17vs Predicted
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9Wake Forest University-1.36-0.80vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-1.82-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.438.9%1st Place
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5.18North Carolina State University0.918.9%1st Place
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4.29Clemson University0.7313.5%1st Place
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3.12The Citadel1.2225.8%1st Place
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5.99University of North Carolina-0.015.7%1st Place
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4.27University of South Carolina0.6314.9%1st Place
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4.32Georgia Institute of Technology0.4612.3%1st Place
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5.83University of Tennessee-0.086.6%1st Place
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8.2Wake Forest University-1.362.0%1st Place
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8.82University of Georgia-1.821.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
William Smith | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
Hogan O'Donnell | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 7.0% | 1.0% |
Nilah Miller | 13.5% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
Gregory Walters | 25.8% | 21.9% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Thompson Betts | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 13.5% | 4.4% |
Ian Street | 14.9% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
Megan Ploch | 12.3% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
Harrison Reisinger | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 17.0% | 11.7% | 3.6% |
Chris Straub | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 11.9% | 30.9% | 33.0% |
Thea Genet | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 22.1% | 54.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.