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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
William Smith 8.9% 10.7% 11.1% 12.8% 13.6% 13.2% 12.1% 9.8% 6.0% 1.8%
Hogan O'Donnell 8.9% 8.7% 10.1% 12.6% 12.4% 12.2% 13.5% 13.7% 7.0% 1.0%
Nilah Miller 13.5% 13.8% 14.3% 13.6% 12.6% 11.9% 10.2% 6.8% 2.8% 0.5%
Gregory Walters 25.8% 21.9% 15.4% 12.7% 10.1% 7.1% 4.2% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Thompson Betts 5.7% 6.8% 8.3% 8.8% 9.7% 11.7% 13.7% 17.5% 13.5% 4.4%
Ian Street 14.9% 12.7% 14.1% 13.5% 12.6% 11.8% 10.8% 6.1% 3.0% 0.5%
Megan Ploch 12.3% 14.7% 14.3% 13.3% 12.3% 12.4% 10.3% 7.0% 2.5% 0.7%
Harrison Reisinger 6.6% 7.4% 8.2% 8.3% 10.8% 11.8% 14.6% 17.0% 11.7% 3.6%
Chris Straub 2.0% 2.0% 2.6% 2.9% 3.5% 4.7% 6.5% 11.9% 30.9% 33.0%
Thea Genet 1.4% 1.3% 1.5% 1.4% 2.5% 3.3% 4.2% 8.0% 22.1% 54.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.