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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.59+3.79vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.30+3.66vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.29+2.73vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.19+2.18vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.57-0.02vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.08+0.45vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.29-1.20vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.82-0.93vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.16-2.91vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12-1.67vs Predicted
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12Amherst College-0.38+1.09vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.11-0.43vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.66-0.30vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16-6.90vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-4.62vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-0.31-4.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.79Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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5.66Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.73Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.18University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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4.98Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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6.45Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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5.8Connecticut College2.290.1%1st Place
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7.07Brown University1.820.1%1st Place
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6.09Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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9.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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13.09Amherst College-0.380.0%1st Place
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12.57University of New Hampshire-0.110.0%1st Place
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13.7University of Connecticut-0.660.0%1st Place
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9.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.0%1st Place
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12.38University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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13.09Middlebury College-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Martz | 14.1% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 7.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 12.6% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 8.1% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Secondo | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Karl Ryder | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Brady Winn | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 17.2% | 20.2% | 22.1% |
| Emily Peabody | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 16.3% | 15.3% |
| Andrew Silhavy | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 21.0% | 30.7% |
| Joseph Dragon | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Kelsey Martins | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 17.8% | 16.9% | 10.9% |
| Cordelia Prouvost | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 17.9% | 19.9% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.