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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Gregory Walters 24.3% 20.9% 17.1% 13.5% 10.0% 6.5% 4.2% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Hogan O'Donnell 9.7% 9.2% 11.1% 11.1% 11.7% 12.3% 12.9% 11.2% 8.4% 2.6%
Megan Ploch 13.4% 14.0% 14.0% 12.8% 13.2% 10.1% 9.3% 8.1% 4.5% 0.8%
Thompson Betts 5.9% 6.1% 7.5% 8.6% 9.4% 10.8% 13.0% 16.7% 15.9% 6.0%
William Smith 10.7% 8.8% 11.7% 12.0% 12.3% 13.0% 11.9% 10.0% 8.1% 1.7%
Nilah Miller 13.9% 14.3% 12.2% 12.0% 12.6% 11.6% 10.3% 7.5% 4.5% 1.0%
Ian Street 11.7% 13.9% 12.7% 13.1% 12.2% 12.1% 10.4% 8.5% 4.4% 1.1%
Matthew Sparacio 3.2% 4.2% 4.8% 5.7% 5.5% 9.3% 9.9% 16.2% 27.1% 14.0%
Thea Genet 1.2% 1.0% 1.7% 1.7% 1.8% 2.1% 3.9% 6.1% 12.5% 68.1%
Harrison Reisinger 6.1% 7.6% 7.4% 9.6% 11.4% 12.2% 14.0% 13.2% 14.0% 4.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.