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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel1.22+2.19vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.91+3.19vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology0.46+1.39vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-0.01+2.15vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.43+0.03vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.73-1.57vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina0.63-2.45vs Predicted
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8Wake Forest University-0.63-0.85vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-1.82+0.06vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee-0.08-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19The Citadel1.2224.3%1st Place
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5.19North Carolina State University0.919.7%1st Place
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4.39Georgia Institute of Technology0.4613.4%1st Place
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6.15University of North Carolina-0.015.9%1st Place
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5.03University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.4310.7%1st Place
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4.43Clemson University0.7313.9%1st Place
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4.55University of South Carolina0.6311.7%1st Place
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7.15Wake Forest University-0.633.2%1st Place
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9.06University of Georgia-1.821.2%1st Place
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5.86University of Tennessee-0.086.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gregory Walters | 24.3% | 20.9% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Hogan O'Donnell | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 2.6% |
Megan Ploch | 13.4% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
Thompson Betts | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 6.0% |
William Smith | 10.7% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 1.7% |
Nilah Miller | 13.9% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
Ian Street | 11.7% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
Matthew Sparacio | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 16.2% | 27.1% | 14.0% |
Thea Genet | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 12.5% | 68.1% |
Harrison Reisinger | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.