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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel1.22+2.28vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.91+3.21vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina-0.01+3.19vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.43+0.85vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.73-0.67vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology0.46-1.68vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina0.63-2.51vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-1.82+1.04vs Predicted
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9Wake Forest University-0.63-1.74vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee-0.08-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28The Citadel1.2221.9%1st Place
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5.21North Carolina State University0.919.5%1st Place
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6.19University of North Carolina-0.016.3%1st Place
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4.85University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.4311.7%1st Place
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4.33Clemson University0.7313.8%1st Place
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4.32Georgia Institute of Technology0.4613.4%1st Place
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4.49University of South Carolina0.6313.1%1st Place
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9.04University of Georgia-1.821.2%1st Place
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7.26Wake Forest University-0.633.2%1st Place
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6.03University of Tennessee-0.085.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Walters | 21.9% | 21.1% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 2.5% |
| Thompson Betts | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 17.3% | 6.5% |
| William Smith | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Nilah Miller | 13.8% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Megan Ploch | 13.4% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Ian Street | 13.1% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Thea Genet | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 13.3% | 67.2% |
| Matthew Sparacio | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 15.7% | 28.4% | 15.6% |
| Harrison Reisinger | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.