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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.59+3.80vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.29+2.67vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.19+2.08vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.57+0.02vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.29-0.27vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.08-0.56vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.30-2.21vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12+0.16vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-0.31+2.91vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16-1.79vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.82-4.87vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.16-6.88vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.66-0.27vs Predicted
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15Amherst College-0.38-1.87vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.11-4.34vs Predicted
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18University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-5.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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5.67Connecticut College2.290.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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5.02Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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5.73Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.44Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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5.79Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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12.91Middlebury College-0.310.0%1st Place
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9.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.0%1st Place
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7.13Brown University1.820.1%1st Place
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6.12Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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13.73University of Connecticut-0.660.0%1st Place
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13.13Amherst College-0.380.0%1st Place
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12.66University of New Hampshire-0.110.0%1st Place
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12.42University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Martz | 13.2% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 9.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Rolfe Glover | 12.9% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 7.5% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Ryder | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Cordelia Prouvost | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 20.4% | 18.4% |
| Joseph Dragon | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Reid Secondo | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Peter Christensen | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Silhavy | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 18.9% | 33.0% |
| Brady Winn | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 18.7% | 18.3% | 22.0% |
| Emily Peabody | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 18.5% | 18.7% | 14.0% |
| Kelsey Martins | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 18.1% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.