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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.29+4.67vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.29+3.68vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.59+1.91vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.57+1.06vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.30+0.71vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.19+0.16vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.08-0.53vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.82-0.96vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16+0.18vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-0.31+2.02vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut-0.66+1.66vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12-3.74vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.16-7.92vs Predicted
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15Amherst College-0.38-1.91vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.11-4.39vs Predicted
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18University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-5.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67Connecticut College2.290.1%1st Place
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5.68Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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4.91Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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5.06Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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5.71Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.16University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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6.47Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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7.04Brown University1.820.1%1st Place
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9.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.0%1st Place
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13.02Middlebury College-0.310.0%1st Place
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13.66University of Connecticut-0.660.0%1st Place
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9.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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6.08Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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13.09Amherst College-0.380.0%1st Place
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12.61University of New Hampshire-0.110.0%1st Place
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12.4University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 9.3% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 14.6% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 12.6% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 8.7% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reid Secondo | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Dragon | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Cordelia Prouvost | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 22.1% | 18.3% |
| Andrew Silhavy | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 15.6% | 19.1% | 34.1% |
| Karl Ryder | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brady Winn | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 17.6% | 17.9% | 21.2% |
| Emily Peabody | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 18.8% | 13.0% |
| Kelsey Martins | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.