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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.30+1.68vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05+2.88vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.53-0.65vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73+2.17vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina0.66-1.37vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-1.51+1.49vs Predicted
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7Clemson University-0.80-0.65vs Predicted
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8Cornell University-0.11-2.96vs Predicted
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9University of Tennessee-2.26-0.37vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68University of South Carolina1.3027.2%1st Place
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4.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.056.9%1st Place
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2.35North Carolina State University1.5334.0%1st Place
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6.17Georgia Institute of Technology-0.734.0%1st Place
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3.63University of North Carolina0.6614.2%1st Place
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7.49University of Georgia-1.511.4%1st Place
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6.35Clemson University-0.803.2%1st Place
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5.04Cornell University-0.116.6%1st Place
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8.63University of Tennessee-2.260.8%1st Place
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7.78University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.611.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Thurlow | 27.2% | 25.9% | 20.1% | 13.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 18.0% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Jacob Usher | 34.0% | 27.3% | 20.2% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tan Tonge | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 11.2% | 4.5% |
| Michael Hostutler | 14.2% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 20.2% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cason Smith | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 18.4% | 22.4% | 18.5% |
| John Ruane | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 18.6% | 18.2% | 12.3% | 4.7% |
| Theodore Taylor | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 16.8% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Kate Pierce | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 18.9% | 48.1% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 16.0% | 27.4% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.