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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.30+1.65vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.53+0.37vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina0.66+0.64vs Predicted
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4Cornell University-0.11+1.04vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-0.11vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61+1.70vs Predicted
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7Clemson University-0.80-0.79vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-1.51-0.43vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73-2.74vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee-2.26-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65University of South Carolina1.3027.8%1st Place
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2.37North Carolina State University1.5333.8%1st Place
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3.64University of North Carolina0.6614.0%1st Place
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5.04Cornell University-0.115.4%1st Place
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4.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.057.7%1st Place
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7.7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.611.4%1st Place
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6.21Clemson University-0.803.4%1st Place
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7.57University of Georgia-1.512.2%1st Place
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6.26Georgia Institute of Technology-0.733.3%1st Place
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8.66University of Tennessee-2.261.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Thurlow | 27.8% | 25.1% | 20.6% | 14.0% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 33.8% | 27.9% | 18.9% | 10.7% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hostutler | 14.0% | 16.7% | 19.3% | 18.1% | 14.9% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Theodore Taylor | 5.4% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 18.6% | 18.1% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Lewis Bragg | 7.7% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 13.3% | 18.1% | 25.3% | 20.4% |
| John Ruane | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 17.9% | 11.8% | 3.9% |
| Cason Smith | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 17.5% | 25.9% | 18.5% |
| Tan Tonge | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 15.4% | 18.9% | 17.2% | 11.1% | 4.8% |
| Kate Pierce | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 19.1% | 51.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.