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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.59+3.82vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.82+5.13vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.16+3.17vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.30+1.79vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.57+0.02vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16+3.22vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.19-0.87vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.29-3.35vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.08-3.66vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-0.31+2.02vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12-2.79vs Predicted
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13Amherst College-0.38+0.12vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-1.69vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.11-2.54vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.66-3.21vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.29-12.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.82Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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7.13Brown University1.820.1%1st Place
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6.17Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.79Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.02Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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9.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.0%1st Place
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6.13University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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5.65Connecticut College2.290.1%1st Place
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6.34Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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13.02Middlebury College-0.310.0%1st Place
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9.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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13.12Amherst College-0.380.0%1st Place
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12.31University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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12.46University of New Hampshire-0.110.0%1st Place
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13.79University of Connecticut-0.660.0%1st Place
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5.82Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Martz | 14.6% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Secondo | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 8.8% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 13.6% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Dragon | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Penwell | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Prouvost | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 17.8% | 22.3% | 18.1% |
| Karl Ryder | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Brady Winn | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 19.2% | 22.7% |
| Kelsey Martins | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 17.5% | 13.6% | 12.3% |
| Emily Peabody | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 16.3% | 13.2% |
| Andrew Silhavy | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 21.3% | 32.4% |
| Christopher Jensen | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.