Race 8B

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Kate Levinson 9.7% 11.0% 10.7% 10.0% 10.5% 9.7% 8.8% 8.2% 6.5% 6.4% 4.6% 2.1% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Jensen 10.9% 10.4% 9.8% 10.6% 8.1% 9.2% 10.0% 7.7% 8.2% 7.0% 3.8% 2.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Rolfe Glover 15.0% 10.4% 11.7% 11.9% 10.7% 9.8% 9.0% 8.5% 4.6% 4.1% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Penwell 8.2% 9.1% 9.6% 10.0% 7.6% 8.9% 11.0% 9.8% 6.7% 8.6% 5.8% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Jacob Martz 13.0% 13.9% 12.2% 10.2% 10.7% 10.4% 8.2% 6.9% 6.1% 4.2% 2.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Christensen 8.4% 7.3% 9.8% 8.9% 9.6% 10.7% 8.7% 8.1% 9.5% 5.9% 6.5% 3.5% 2.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Alexandra Romagnoli 10.5% 9.4% 9.9% 10.1% 9.2% 8.6% 7.7% 9.2% 9.6% 7.2% 4.4% 3.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Reid Secondo 6.2% 7.3% 6.9% 6.3% 8.9% 7.6% 9.7% 9.5% 8.9% 10.0% 7.9% 5.9% 3.0% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Shannon Killian 8.3% 8.2% 8.7% 9.1% 10.2% 8.1% 10.2% 8.8% 6.8% 8.0% 5.8% 5.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Karl Ryder 3.0% 3.9% 2.8% 4.6% 3.0% 5.0% 4.4% 6.9% 8.8% 10.4% 14.3% 13.1% 10.7% 6.3% 2.1% 0.7%
Joseph Dragon 3.5% 4.4% 3.2% 4.5% 5.3% 4.3% 5.7% 5.9% 10.4% 9.2% 12.8% 11.5% 11.3% 4.9% 2.6% 0.5%
Kelsey Martins 0.7% 0.9% 1.5% 1.4% 1.8% 2.1% 2.1% 2.3% 3.3% 5.0% 7.8% 11.7% 15.0% 15.5% 15.8% 13.1%
Emily Peabody 1.0% 0.6% 1.2% 0.7% 1.0% 2.2% 1.8% 2.5% 3.5% 4.7% 6.9% 11.5% 14.2% 18.4% 15.9% 13.9%
Cordelia Prouvost 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 1.5% 1.3% 0.9% 2.1% 3.1% 3.2% 6.2% 9.0% 14.8% 16.7% 18.6% 19.2%
Brady Winn 0.6% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 1.9% 2.0% 3.0% 4.9% 8.9% 10.9% 18.6% 21.8% 21.3%
Andrew Silhavy 0.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.6% 1.0% 0.7% 0.6% 1.7% 2.0% 3.1% 3.7% 6.2% 10.2% 15.5% 22.1% 31.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.