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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.53+1.36vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina0.66+1.67vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina1.30-0.33vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05+0.89vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61+2.73vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73+0.21vs Predicted
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7Cornell University-0.11-2.01vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-1.51-0.44vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-0.80-2.71vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee-2.26-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36North Carolina State University1.5334.6%1st Place
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3.67University of North Carolina0.6614.8%1st Place
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2.67University of South Carolina1.3025.9%1st Place
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4.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.057.5%1st Place
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7.73University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.611.8%1st Place
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6.21Georgia Institute of Technology-0.733.5%1st Place
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4.99Cornell University-0.116.5%1st Place
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7.56University of Georgia-1.511.2%1st Place
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6.29Clemson University-0.803.6%1st Place
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8.64University of Tennessee-2.260.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 34.6% | 26.6% | 18.4% | 12.2% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hostutler | 14.8% | 16.2% | 18.5% | 17.6% | 14.9% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| James Thurlow | 25.9% | 27.1% | 21.1% | 13.8% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 13.2% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 18.4% | 25.8% | 21.2% |
| Tan Tonge | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 16.9% | 12.0% | 4.0% |
| Theodore Taylor | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Cason Smith | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 18.4% | 23.5% | 18.9% |
| John Ruane | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 16.6% | 17.9% | 12.1% | 4.8% |
| Kate Pierce | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 19.6% | 49.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.