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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.53+1.10vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.30+0.33vs Predicted
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3Cornell University-0.11+1.40vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05+0.29vs Predicted
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5University of Georgia-1.51+2.12vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.80-0.25vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73-1.38vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-2.03-0.06vs Predicted
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9University of Tennessee-2.26-0.78vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1North Carolina State University1.5338.6%1st Place
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2.33University of South Carolina1.3032.7%1st Place
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4.4Cornell University-0.118.3%1st Place
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4.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.058.3%1st Place
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7.12University of Georgia-1.511.7%1st Place
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5.75Clemson University-0.803.7%1st Place
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5.62Georgia Institute of Technology-0.733.1%1st Place
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7.94University of North Carolina-2.030.9%1st Place
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8.22University of Tennessee-2.260.9%1st Place
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7.24University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.611.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 38.6% | 31.7% | 17.0% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Thurlow | 32.7% | 29.1% | 20.3% | 11.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Taylor | 8.3% | 9.9% | 15.6% | 19.6% | 17.1% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Lewis Bragg | 8.3% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 19.4% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Cason Smith | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 19.7% | 18.9% | 12.8% |
| John Ruane | 3.7% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 3.0% |
| Tan Tonge | 3.1% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Grayson Berrier | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 22.9% | 28.6% |
| Kate Pierce | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 20.0% | 37.6% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 19.6% | 20.1% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.