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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.53+1.09vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.30+0.35vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05+1.38vs Predicted
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4Cornell University-0.11+0.48vs Predicted
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5University of Georgia-1.51+2.02vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.80-0.30vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73-1.35vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-0.75vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-2.03-1.13vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee-2.26-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09North Carolina State University1.5338.8%1st Place
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2.35University of South Carolina1.3031.6%1st Place
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4.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.058.2%1st Place
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4.48Cornell University-0.116.7%1st Place
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7.02University of Georgia-1.512.3%1st Place
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5.7Clemson University-0.803.9%1st Place
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5.65Georgia Institute of Technology-0.734.2%1st Place
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7.25University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.611.8%1st Place
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7.87University of North Carolina-2.031.2%1st Place
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8.21University of Tennessee-2.261.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 38.8% | 30.9% | 18.2% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Thurlow | 31.6% | 29.7% | 20.1% | 11.4% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 8.2% | 10.2% | 15.4% | 19.5% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Theodore Taylor | 6.7% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 19.1% | 19.4% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Cason Smith | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 18.6% | 20.8% | 12.0% |
| John Ruane | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 18.1% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
| Tan Tonge | 4.2% | 5.3% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 2.6% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.8% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 20.1% | 15.3% |
| Grayson Berrier | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 21.8% | 28.4% |
| Kate Pierce | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 19.3% | 38.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.