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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.30+1.32vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05+2.44vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.53-0.90vs Predicted
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4Cornell University-0.11+0.43vs Predicted
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5University of Georgia-1.51+2.01vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.80-0.30vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73-1.31vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-0.78vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-2.03-1.21vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee-2.26-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32University of South Carolina1.3032.9%1st Place
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4.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.057.2%1st Place
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2.1North Carolina State University1.5338.8%1st Place
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4.43Cornell University-0.117.6%1st Place
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7.01University of Georgia-1.512.2%1st Place
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5.7Clemson University-0.803.6%1st Place
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5.69Georgia Institute of Technology-0.733.7%1st Place
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7.22University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.612.2%1st Place
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7.79University of North Carolina-2.031.1%1st Place
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8.3University of Tennessee-2.260.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Thurlow | 32.9% | 29.2% | 20.8% | 10.3% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 7.2% | 10.2% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 18.4% | 14.4% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Usher | 38.8% | 31.2% | 17.9% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Taylor | 7.6% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 20.4% | 18.1% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Cason Smith | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 19.1% | 18.3% | 13.0% |
| John Ruane | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 11.7% | 7.2% | 3.1% |
| Tan Tonge | 3.7% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 19.7% | 20.2% | 14.9% |
| Grayson Berrier | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 22.9% | 27.2% |
| Kate Pierce | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 21.7% | 38.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.