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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.53+1.12vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.30+0.35vs Predicted
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3Clemson University-0.80+2.86vs Predicted
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4Cornell University-0.11+0.61vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73+0.74vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-1.41+0.99vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61+0.27vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-1.51-0.80vs Predicted
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9University of Tennessee-2.26-0.55vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-5.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12North Carolina State University1.5339.0%1st Place
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2.35University of South Carolina1.3030.4%1st Place
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5.86Clemson University-0.804.2%1st Place
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4.61Cornell University-0.117.3%1st Place
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5.74Georgia Institute of Technology-0.734.1%1st Place
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6.99University of North Carolina-1.412.1%1st Place
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7.27University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.611.6%1st Place
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7.2University of Georgia-1.511.8%1st Place
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8.45University of Tennessee-2.260.9%1st Place
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4.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.058.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 39.0% | 30.2% | 16.9% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Thurlow | 30.4% | 31.9% | 18.9% | 11.9% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Ruane | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 4.0% |
| Theodore Taylor | 7.3% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 17.9% | 17.8% | 14.8% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Tan Tonge | 4.1% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 3.5% |
| Ethan Phillips | 2.1% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 18.1% | 18.6% | 12.6% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 17.1% | 19.4% | 18.4% |
| Cason Smith | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 19.8% | 16.3% |
| Kate Pierce | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 19.5% | 44.4% |
| Lewis Bragg | 8.6% | 9.8% | 17.1% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.