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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05+3.48vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.53+0.07vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina1.30-0.62vs Predicted
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4Cornell University-0.11+0.55vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61+2.45vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.80-0.23vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-1.51+0.18vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73-2.29vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-1.41-1.99vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee-2.26-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.057.0%1st Place
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2.07North Carolina State University1.5341.4%1st Place
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2.38University of South Carolina1.3030.2%1st Place
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4.55Cornell University-0.117.1%1st Place
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7.45University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.611.7%1st Place
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5.77Clemson University-0.804.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Georgia-1.511.8%1st Place
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5.71Georgia Institute of Technology-0.733.4%1st Place
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7.01University of North Carolina-1.412.4%1st Place
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8.41University of Tennessee-2.261.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Bragg | 7.0% | 10.9% | 16.4% | 17.4% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Usher | 41.4% | 28.9% | 16.7% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Thurlow | 30.2% | 30.0% | 21.4% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Taylor | 7.1% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 17.5% | 21.2% | 19.4% |
| John Ruane | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 3.6% |
| Cason Smith | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 17.4% | 19.7% | 15.4% |
| Tan Tonge | 3.4% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 3.5% |
| Ethan Phillips | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 17.5% | 19.0% | 13.2% |
| Kate Pierce | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 18.6% | 44.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.