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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.30+1.37vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.53+0.18vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05+1.43vs Predicted
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4Cornell University-0.11+0.51vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.80+0.84vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-1.51+1.18vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61+0.27vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73-2.22vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-1.41-1.96vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee-2.26-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37University of South Carolina1.3030.6%1st Place
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2.18North Carolina State University1.5337.2%1st Place
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4.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.058.2%1st Place
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4.51Cornell University-0.118.9%1st Place
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5.84Clemson University-0.803.8%1st Place
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7.18University of Georgia-1.512.4%1st Place
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7.27University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.612.3%1st Place
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5.78Georgia Institute of Technology-0.733.4%1st Place
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7.04University of North Carolina-1.412.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Tennessee-2.261.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
James Thurlow | 30.6% | 30.6% | 20.4% | 11.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Jacob Usher | 37.2% | 29.3% | 18.4% | 10.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Lewis Bragg | 8.2% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 18.0% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
Theodore Taylor | 8.9% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 17.4% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
John Ruane | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 9.2% | 3.2% |
Cason Smith | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 17.9% | 18.1% |
Nevin Williams | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 21.4% | 17.1% |
Tan Tonge | 3.4% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 2.9% |
Ethan Phillips | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 19.4% | 13.2% |
Kate Pierce | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 19.1% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.