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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.70+0.74vs Predicted
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2Denison University1.46+1.32vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo1.00+1.03vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo0.20+1.50vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-0.05+0.90vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.34-0.82vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University0.34-1.82vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University0.33-2.72vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame0.37-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74Eckerd College2.700.5%1st Place
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3.32Denison University1.460.1%1st Place
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4.03University of Buffalo1.000.1%1st Place
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5.5University of Toledo0.200.0%1st Place
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5.9Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
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5.18Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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5.18Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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5.28Western Michigan University0.330.0%1st Place
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5.06University of Notre Dame0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Siemers | 54.9% | 26.9% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Floyd | 15.0% | 21.6% | 22.7% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 9.1% | 16.0% | 18.2% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Mackay | 4.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 21.4% | 0.0% |
| Joel Florek | 3.1% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 20.7% | 27.9% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 5.5% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 16.2% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 5.5% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 16.2% | 0.0% |
| Vytenis Karaitis | 4.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 19.4% | 16.5% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Miller | 3.9% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.