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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
James Thurlow 30.6% 30.6% 20.4% 11.6% 4.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Jacob Usher 37.2% 29.3% 18.4% 10.1% 3.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Lewis Bragg 8.2% 11.0% 15.4% 17.1% 18.0% 13.2% 9.8% 5.3% 1.7% 0.4%
Theodore Taylor 8.9% 10.2% 13.7% 17.4% 16.8% 15.0% 9.6% 5.9% 2.0% 0.4%
John Ruane 3.8% 5.9% 8.8% 9.3% 13.3% 16.3% 15.4% 14.7% 9.2% 3.2%
Cason Smith 2.4% 2.5% 3.9% 6.5% 7.9% 11.5% 13.0% 16.4% 17.9% 18.1%
Nevin Williams 2.3% 2.1% 3.8% 6.8% 6.6% 10.3% 13.4% 16.3% 21.4% 17.1%
Tan Tonge 3.4% 4.9% 9.0% 12.0% 15.7% 14.8% 14.2% 13.7% 9.3% 2.9%
Ethan Phillips 2.0% 2.1% 4.4% 6.4% 9.8% 11.1% 15.9% 15.7% 19.4% 13.2%
Kate Pierce 1.1% 1.4% 2.2% 2.9% 4.2% 5.0% 8.1% 11.6% 19.1% 44.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.