← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College2.70+0.79vs Predicted
-
2University of Notre Dame0.37+3.16vs Predicted
-
3Michigan Technological University-0.05+2.83vs Predicted
-
4University of Buffalo1.00+0.08vs Predicted
-
5Western Michigan University0.33+0.25vs Predicted
-
6Ohio State University0.34-0.83vs Predicted
-
7University of Toledo0.20-1.52vs Predicted
-
8Ohio State University0.34-2.83vs Predicted
-
9Denison University1.46-5.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.79Eckerd College2.700.5%1st Place
-
5.16University of Notre Dame0.370.1%1st Place
-
5.83Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
-
4.08University of Buffalo1.000.1%1st Place
-
5.25Western Michigan University0.330.0%1st Place
-
5.17Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
-
5.48University of Toledo0.200.0%1st Place
-
5.17Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
-
3.24Denison University1.460.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Siemers | 52.2% | 27.9% | 12.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Miller | 5.2% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 17.5% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
| Joel Florek | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 20.4% | 28.4% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 9.0% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Vytenis Karaitis | 4.6% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 17.3% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 5.5% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
| Colin Mackay | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 16.3% | 17.6% | 21.0% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 5.5% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
| William Floyd | 14.8% | 24.3% | 21.5% | 17.9% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.