← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College2.70+0.73vs Predicted
-
2Denison University1.46+1.31vs Predicted
-
3University of Buffalo1.00+1.03vs Predicted
-
4University of Toledo0.20+1.49vs Predicted
-
5Michigan Technological University-0.05+0.91vs Predicted
-
6University of Notre Dame0.37-0.88vs Predicted
-
7Ohio State University0.34-1.74vs Predicted
-
8Western Michigan University0.33-2.86vs Predicted
-
9Ohio State University0.34-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.73Eckerd College2.700.6%1st Place
-
3.31Denison University1.460.1%1st Place
-
4.03University of Buffalo1.000.1%1st Place
-
5.49University of Toledo0.200.0%1st Place
-
5.91Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
-
5.12University of Notre Dame0.370.1%1st Place
-
5.26Ohio State University0.340.0%1st Place
-
5.14Western Michigan University0.330.0%1st Place
-
5.26Ohio State University0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Siemers | 55.1% | 26.6% | 11.2% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Floyd | 14.9% | 21.8% | 22.6% | 16.3% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 9.1% | 16.0% | 18.0% | 16.8% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Mackay | 4.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 16.9% | 21.5% | 0.0% |
| Joel Florek | 3.1% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 20.5% | 28.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Miller | 5.7% | 6.2% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 4.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 19.0% | 16.4% | 0.0% |
| Vytenis Karaitis | 3.6% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 4.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 19.0% | 16.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.