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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.70+0.76vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-0.05+3.91vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.34+2.19vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo0.20+1.47vs Predicted
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5Denison University1.46-1.71vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University0.33-0.80vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame0.37-1.80vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.34-2.81vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo1.00-5.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76Eckerd College2.700.5%1st Place
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5.91Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
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5.19Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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5.47University of Toledo0.200.0%1st Place
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3.29Denison University1.460.1%1st Place
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5.2Western Michigan University0.330.1%1st Place
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5.2University of Notre Dame0.370.1%1st Place
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5.19Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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3.98University of Buffalo1.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Siemers | 53.6% | 27.5% | 11.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joel Florek | 3.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 16.5% | 20.2% | 28.5% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 5.3% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 19.8% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Colin Mackay | 4.7% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 16.9% | 17.9% | 20.2% | 0.0% |
| William Floyd | 14.8% | 22.9% | 21.7% | 16.7% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Vytenis Karaitis | 5.1% | 5.8% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Miller | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 16.8% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 5.3% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 19.8% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 7.8% | 17.0% | 19.6% | 17.2% | 16.3% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.