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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Denison University1.46+2.26vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University0.33+3.27vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.70-1.26vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.05+1.91vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo1.00-0.93vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo0.20-0.54vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University0.34-1.76vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame0.37-2.95vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University0.34-3.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26Denison University1.460.1%1st Place
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5.27Western Michigan University0.330.0%1st Place
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1.74Eckerd College2.700.5%1st Place
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5.91Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
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4.07University of Buffalo1.000.1%1st Place
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5.46University of Toledo0.200.0%1st Place
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5.24Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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5.05University of Notre Dame0.370.0%1st Place
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5.24Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Floyd | 14.7% | 25.6% | 19.7% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Vytenis Karaitis | 4.6% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 15.5% | 19.6% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 54.9% | 26.2% | 12.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joel Florek | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 19.6% | 29.8% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 7.9% | 15.5% | 18.9% | 16.6% | 16.3% | 13.3% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Colin Mackay | 4.7% | 4.9% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 15.9% | 20.6% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 5.8% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 18.6% | 16.4% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Miller | 4.5% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 5.8% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 18.6% | 16.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.