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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.70+0.77vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University0.33+3.26vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.37+2.13vs Predicted
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4Denison University1.46-0.70vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo0.20+0.51vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.34-0.83vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-0.05-1.10vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.34-2.83vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo1.00-5.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77Eckerd College2.700.5%1st Place
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5.26Western Michigan University0.330.0%1st Place
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5.13University of Notre Dame0.370.1%1st Place
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3.3Denison University1.460.2%1st Place
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5.51University of Toledo0.200.0%1st Place
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5.17Ohio State University0.340.0%1st Place
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5.9Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
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5.17Ohio State University0.340.0%1st Place
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3.96University of Buffalo1.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Siemers | 53.6% | 26.5% | 12.8% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vytenis Karaitis | 4.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 17.3% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Miller | 5.4% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 18.3% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| William Floyd | 15.4% | 20.6% | 23.1% | 17.3% | 12.3% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Colin Mackay | 3.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 17.7% | 18.8% | 19.5% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 0.0% |
| Joel Florek | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 15.9% | 18.1% | 30.2% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 8.3% | 17.2% | 19.4% | 18.7% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.