← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College2.70+0.74vs Predicted
-
2Michigan Technological University-0.05+3.91vs Predicted
-
3Denison University1.46+0.29vs Predicted
-
4Western Michigan University0.33+1.24vs Predicted
-
5University of Notre Dame0.37+0.16vs Predicted
-
6Ohio State University0.34-0.83vs Predicted
-
7Ohio State University0.34-1.83vs Predicted
-
8University of Buffalo1.00-3.89vs Predicted
-
9University of Toledo0.20-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.74Eckerd College2.700.5%1st Place
-
5.91Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
-
3.29Denison University1.460.2%1st Place
-
5.24Western Michigan University0.330.1%1st Place
-
5.16University of Notre Dame0.370.0%1st Place
-
5.17Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
-
5.17Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
-
4.11University of Buffalo1.000.1%1st Place
-
5.39University of Toledo0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Siemers | 53.1% | 28.8% | 11.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joel Florek | 3.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 15.1% | 20.9% | 29.1% | 0.0% |
| William Floyd | 15.1% | 22.6% | 21.8% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Vytenis Karaitis | 5.2% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Miller | 4.9% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 9.8% | 13.5% | 19.2% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Colin Mackay | 3.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 17.5% | 16.6% | 18.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.