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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.70+0.68vs Predicted
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2Denison University1.46+1.15vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo1.00+0.82vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.34+0.94vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.34-0.06vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-0.89+0.80vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University0.33-2.09vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-0.05-2.39vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo0.20-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.68Eckerd College2.700.6%1st Place
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3.15Denison University1.460.1%1st Place
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3.82University of Buffalo1.000.1%1st Place
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4.94Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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4.94Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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6.8University of Notre Dame-0.890.0%1st Place
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4.91Western Michigan University0.330.1%1st Place
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5.61Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
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5.08University of Toledo0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Siemers | 56.8% | 25.8% | 11.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Floyd | 14.9% | 25.2% | 22.6% | 16.4% | 12.0% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 9.5% | 17.2% | 20.1% | 17.5% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 5.4% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 19.4% | 16.5% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 5.4% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 19.4% | 16.5% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Skyler Hughes | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 18.3% | 52.2% | 0.0% |
| Vytenis Karaitis | 5.6% | 6.7% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Joel Florek | 3.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 24.8% | 18.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Mackay | 3.3% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 17.9% | 19.5% | 15.8% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.