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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.70+0.68vs Predicted
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2Denison University1.46+1.15vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-0.89+3.69vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.05+1.57vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.34-0.05vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo1.00-2.17vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University0.34-2.05vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University0.33-2.98vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo0.20-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.68Eckerd College2.700.6%1st Place
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3.15Denison University1.460.2%1st Place
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6.69University of Notre Dame-0.890.0%1st Place
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5.57Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
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4.95Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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3.83University of Buffalo1.000.1%1st Place
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4.95Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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5.02Western Michigan University0.330.1%1st Place
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5.11University of Toledo0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Siemers | 56.7% | 26.0% | 12.0% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Floyd | 15.3% | 23.9% | 23.8% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Skyler Hughes | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 16.2% | 51.4% | 0.0% |
| Joel Florek | 2.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 19.7% | 22.1% | 16.9% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 5.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 9.7% | 15.7% | 21.7% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 5.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Vytenis Karaitis | 5.0% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 17.1% | 18.4% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Colin Mackay | 3.4% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.