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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Denison University0.36+2.53vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University0.34+1.68vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.54+0.34vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.54-0.66vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University0.01-0.69vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-0.11-1.48vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo-0.09-2.57vs Predicted
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8University of Buffalo-0.03-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53Denison University0.360.2%1st Place
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3.68Western Michigan University0.340.2%1st Place
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3.34Ohio State University0.540.2%1st Place
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3.34Ohio State University0.540.2%1st Place
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4.31Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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4.52University of Notre Dame-0.110.1%1st Place
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4.43University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
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4.19University of Buffalo-0.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Lorimer | 19.1% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mabie | 16.4% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 18.1% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Rush | 20.1% | 19.5% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Rush | 20.1% | 19.5% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Henley | 11.6% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 18.2% | 15.5% | 17.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Roehmholdt | 8.6% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 18.3% | 21.4% | 0.0% |
| Drew Blackburn | 10.8% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| Kishen Das | 13.4% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.