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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-0.52+2.82vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.43-0.51vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.11-0.20vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.99-0.25vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82SUNY Stony Brook-0.525.1%1st Place
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1.49Webb Institute1.4363.8%1st Place
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2.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.1115.3%1st Place
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3.75Syracuse University-0.995.8%1st Place
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3.15SUNY Stony Brook-0.4010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Gorman | 5.1% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 26.8% | 38.7% |
| Payne Donaldson | 63.8% | 25.4% | 9.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Adkins | 15.3% | 29.6% | 25.2% | 19.2% | 10.5% |
| Collin Ross | 5.8% | 12.4% | 19.6% | 26.0% | 36.2% |
| Kristin Hess | 10.0% | 20.2% | 28.9% | 26.5% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.