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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.43+0.49vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.52+1.82vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+0.22vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.99-0.27vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.11-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.49Webb Institute1.4363.9%1st Place
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3.82SUNY Stony Brook-0.526.0%1st Place
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3.22SUNY Stony Brook-0.409.4%1st Place
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3.73Syracuse University-0.995.6%1st Place
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2.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.1115.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payne Donaldson | 63.9% | 26.1% | 7.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 6.0% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 26.1% | 39.6% |
| Kristin Hess | 9.4% | 19.4% | 28.7% | 25.1% | 17.3% |
| Collin Ross | 5.6% | 13.6% | 18.2% | 27.3% | 35.4% |
| Christopher Adkins | 15.0% | 29.4% | 28.8% | 19.4% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.