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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.43+0.47vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.52+1.85vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.99+0.73vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.11-1.21vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.47Webb Institute1.4364.5%1st Place
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3.85SUNY Stony Brook-0.525.1%1st Place
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3.73Syracuse University-0.995.5%1st Place
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2.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.1114.8%1st Place
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3.17SUNY Stony Brook-0.4010.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payne Donaldson | 64.5% | 26.6% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 5.1% | 9.9% | 19.2% | 26.9% | 39.0% |
| Collin Ross | 5.5% | 13.5% | 18.4% | 28.2% | 34.4% |
| Christopher Adkins | 14.8% | 28.8% | 28.4% | 18.4% | 9.6% |
| Kristin Hess | 10.2% | 21.2% | 27.0% | 24.8% | 16.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.