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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.43+0.53vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.52+1.81vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.99+0.71vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-0.82vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.11-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.53Webb Institute1.4361.8%1st Place
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3.81SUNY Stony Brook-0.526.2%1st Place
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3.71Syracuse University-0.996.1%1st Place
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3.18SUNY Stony Brook-0.408.9%1st Place
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2.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.1117.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payne Donaldson | 61.8% | 26.9% | 8.8% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 6.2% | 11.1% | 17.0% | 26.9% | 38.9% |
| Collin Ross | 6.1% | 13.8% | 18.9% | 25.9% | 35.2% |
| Kristin Hess | 8.9% | 21.9% | 28.0% | 24.5% | 16.6% |
| Christopher Adkins | 17.0% | 26.4% | 27.3% | 20.3% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.