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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University0.34+2.62vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.01+2.22vs Predicted
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3Denison University0.36+0.63vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-0.11+0.53vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.54-1.62vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.54-2.62vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo-0.09-2.58vs Predicted
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8University of Buffalo-0.03-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62Western Michigan University0.340.2%1st Place
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4.22Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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3.63Denison University0.360.2%1st Place
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4.53University of Notre Dame-0.110.1%1st Place
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3.38Ohio State University0.540.2%1st Place
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3.38Ohio State University0.540.2%1st Place
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4.42University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
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4.19University of Buffalo-0.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mabie | 18.6% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Henley | 11.3% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lorimer | 16.7% | 16.5% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Roehmholdt | 10.1% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 22.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Rush | 19.5% | 19.6% | 17.4% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Rush | 19.5% | 19.6% | 17.4% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Drew Blackburn | 10.4% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 17.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Kishen Das | 13.4% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 16.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.