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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.43+0.47vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.52+1.87vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.99+0.68vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.11-1.18vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.47Webb Institute1.4364.8%1st Place
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3.87SUNY Stony Brook-0.524.2%1st Place
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3.68Syracuse University-0.996.2%1st Place
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2.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.1114.7%1st Place
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3.17SUNY Stony Brook-0.4010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payne Donaldson | 64.8% | 25.6% | 7.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 4.2% | 11.2% | 18.5% | 26.0% | 40.1% |
| Collin Ross | 6.2% | 14.6% | 18.1% | 27.6% | 33.6% |
| Christopher Adkins | 14.7% | 28.3% | 26.9% | 20.2% | 9.8% |
| Kristin Hess | 10.1% | 20.3% | 28.9% | 24.6% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.