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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-0.99+2.76vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.11+0.76vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.52+0.86vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.43-2.52vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76Syracuse University-0.996.0%1st Place
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2.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.1114.2%1st Place
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3.86SUNY Stony Brook-0.524.6%1st Place
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1.48Webb Institute1.4364.8%1st Place
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3.13SUNY Stony Brook-0.4010.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Ross | 6.0% | 12.2% | 18.1% | 26.8% | 37.0% |
| Christopher Adkins | 14.2% | 29.9% | 28.9% | 18.9% | 7.9% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 4.6% | 10.8% | 17.9% | 27.1% | 39.6% |
| Payne Donaldson | 64.8% | 24.9% | 8.2% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Kristin Hess | 10.4% | 22.1% | 26.9% | 25.1% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.