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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+5.17vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+3.12vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.71+7.92vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.58+6.95vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.18+3.50vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88+3.90vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+2.19vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.74+2.39vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin3.04+0.18vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College3.14-0.98vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.53+0.54vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.35-3.80vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-1.19vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.27-6.08vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.40-3.11vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.82-5.82vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.67-6.09vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.99-8.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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5.12Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.92Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.95Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.5Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.9U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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10.39Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.18University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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9.02Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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11.54Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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8.2Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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7.92Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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11.89Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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10.18Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.91George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.8% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.6% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 9.8% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% |
| Melany Johnson | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 12.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 14.3% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Rachel Austin | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 13.8% |
| Sky Adams | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.