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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.43+0.45vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.11+0.77vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.52+0.81vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-0.81vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.99-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.45Webb Institute1.4365.9%1st Place
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2.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.1114.2%1st Place
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3.81SUNY Stony Brook-0.524.7%1st Place
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3.19SUNY Stony Brook-0.4010.2%1st Place
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3.79Syracuse University-0.995.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payne Donaldson | 65.9% | 25.1% | 7.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Adkins | 14.2% | 31.0% | 27.6% | 18.2% | 8.9% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 4.7% | 12.6% | 18.6% | 25.9% | 38.3% |
| Kristin Hess | 10.2% | 19.3% | 27.5% | 27.1% | 15.9% |
| Collin Ross | 5.0% | 12.1% | 18.9% | 27.3% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.