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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.71+9.82vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+6.37vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+2.15vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College3.14+4.70vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.74+5.37vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+3.23vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.58+4.21vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.18+0.51vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.88vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.84-3.86vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.82-0.76vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.67-0.85vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.04-3.98vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-2.30vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.53-3.68vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.35-8.07vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.40-4.93vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.99-8.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.82Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.37Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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5.15Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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8.7Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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10.37Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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11.21Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.51Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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6.14University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.24Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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11.15George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.02University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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11.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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11.32Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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7.93Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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12.07Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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9.2University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Schmidt | 4.1% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.4% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sky Adams | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 13.2% |
| Caitlin Watson | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.8% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Rachel Austin | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 15.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.