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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.43+0.44vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.11+0.79vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+0.17vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.99-0.25vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.52-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.44Webb Institute1.4367.0%1st Place
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2.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.1112.8%1st Place
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3.17SUNY Stony Brook-0.409.7%1st Place
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3.75Syracuse University-0.995.5%1st Place
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3.86SUNY Stony Brook-0.524.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payne Donaldson | 67.0% | 23.9% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Adkins | 12.8% | 31.1% | 28.8% | 18.8% | 8.3% |
| Kristin Hess | 9.7% | 21.0% | 27.2% | 26.9% | 15.2% |
| Collin Ross | 5.5% | 13.1% | 19.0% | 26.1% | 36.3% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 4.9% | 10.8% | 18.0% | 26.3% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.