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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.73+0.38vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.09+0.67vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.52+0.83vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-0.68vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.99-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.38Webb Institute1.7369.8%1st Place
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2.67U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.0912.9%1st Place
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3.83SUNY Stony Brook-0.524.6%1st Place
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3.32SUNY Stony Brook-0.407.7%1st Place
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3.8Syracuse University-0.995.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rayne Duff | 69.8% | 24.0% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Patrick McCarron | 12.9% | 35.4% | 29.8% | 15.2% | 6.7% |
Jonathan Gorman | 4.6% | 10.8% | 19.2% | 27.5% | 37.9% |
Kristin Hess | 7.7% | 17.4% | 28.3% | 28.5% | 18.1% |
Collin Ross | 5.0% | 12.4% | 17.5% | 28.0% | 37.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.