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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+7.07vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+6.35vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.99+6.60vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.10+1.04vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.74+5.36vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84-0.09vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.58+4.13vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.40+3.81vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.53+2.39vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.18-1.16vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.71-0.26vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-2.34vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.31vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin3.04-5.13vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.82-4.98vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-3.95vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College3.14-8.05vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.67-7.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.35Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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9.6University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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5.04Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.36Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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5.91University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.13Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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11.81Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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11.39Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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8.84Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.74Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
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9.69U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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8.87University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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10.02Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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12.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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8.95Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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10.52George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.0% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.0% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% |
| Rachel Austin | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 14.7% |
| Caitlin Watson | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% |
| Laura Wefer | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Sky Adams | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 16.3% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.