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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+4.25vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.14+7.01vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.58+8.40vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.27+4.08vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin3.04+4.12vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.74+4.45vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.18+1.54vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+1.17vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.67+1.79vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.07vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.35-3.00vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+0.33vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.99-3.74vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.40-2.48vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.53-3.69vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.84-10.01vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.82-6.72vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.71-7.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.01Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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11.4Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.08Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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9.12University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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10.45Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.54Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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10.79George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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10.07U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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8.0Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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12.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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9.26University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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11.52Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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11.31Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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5.99University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.28Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.42Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 14.3% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 8.9% |
| Sarah Mace | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 17.9% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% |
| Rachel Austin | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 12.7% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 11.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sky Adams | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.