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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.73+0.39vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.52+1.87vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.09-0.29vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-0.78vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.99-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.39Webb Institute1.7369.6%1st Place
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3.87SUNY Stony Brook-0.524.8%1st Place
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2.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.0913.0%1st Place
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3.22SUNY Stony Brook-0.408.2%1st Place
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3.81Syracuse University-0.994.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 69.6% | 22.9% | 6.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 4.8% | 10.2% | 18.6% | 26.2% | 40.4% |
| Patrick McCarron | 13.0% | 33.5% | 29.5% | 17.3% | 6.7% |
| Kristin Hess | 8.2% | 21.7% | 26.1% | 27.9% | 16.2% |
| Collin Ross | 4.5% | 11.8% | 19.1% | 27.9% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.