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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.73+0.38vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.09+0.73vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+0.21vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.52-0.11vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.99-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.38Webb Institute1.7369.7%1st Place
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2.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.0913.6%1st Place
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3.21SUNY Stony Brook-0.407.6%1st Place
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3.89SUNY Stony Brook-0.524.4%1st Place
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3.78Syracuse University-0.994.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 69.7% | 23.4% | 5.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Patrick McCarron | 13.6% | 32.0% | 28.8% | 18.8% | 6.8% |
| Kristin Hess | 7.6% | 21.5% | 28.5% | 26.6% | 15.8% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 4.4% | 10.7% | 17.4% | 26.7% | 40.8% |
| Collin Ross | 4.8% | 12.3% | 19.4% | 27.1% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.