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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.82+9.31vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+3.15vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.67+8.01vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.88+5.76vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+4.15vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College3.14+2.77vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.40+4.87vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.27+0.10vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.18-0.41vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.53+1.66vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.35-2.98vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.58-0.50vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-1.12vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin3.04-5.17vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.84-9.16vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.99-6.55vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.74-6.38vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.71-7.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.31Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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5.15Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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11.01George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.76U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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8.77Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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11.87Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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8.1Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.59Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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11.66Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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8.02Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.5Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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11.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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8.83University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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5.84University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.45University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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10.62Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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10.49Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Adams | 4.9% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% |
| Morgan Kiss | 12.8% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Rachel Austin | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 12.1% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 14.4% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.2% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.