← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Webb Institute1.73+0.38vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Stony Brook-0.52+1.87vs Predicted
-
3Syracuse University-0.99+0.82vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-0.80vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.09-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.38Webb Institute1.7370.0%1st Place
-
3.87SUNY Stony Brook-0.524.5%1st Place
-
3.82Syracuse University-0.993.8%1st Place
-
3.2SUNY Stony Brook-0.408.7%1st Place
-
2.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.0913.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 70.0% | 23.1% | 6.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 4.5% | 10.8% | 17.7% | 27.0% | 40.1% |
| Collin Ross | 3.8% | 11.7% | 19.8% | 28.4% | 36.4% |
| Kristin Hess | 8.7% | 21.2% | 28.0% | 25.6% | 16.6% |
| Patrick McCarron | 13.1% | 33.4% | 28.3% | 18.4% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.