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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+7.39vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+6.83vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.74+7.74vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.53+7.18vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+2.77vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.71+4.65vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.99+2.37vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.82+2.02vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.84-3.18vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-0.45vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+1.14vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.10-6.64vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.58-1.98vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.67-3.58vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.88-5.14vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College3.14-7.18vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.40-4.96vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin3.04-8.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.39Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.83Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.74Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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11.18Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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7.77Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.65Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.37University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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10.02Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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5.82University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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12.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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5.36Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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11.02Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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10.42George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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8.82Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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12.04Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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9.04University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.5% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% |
| Sky Adams | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.7% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 16.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.4% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Rachel Austin | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 15.4% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.