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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+5.07vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.58+9.34vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.14+5.87vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.10+0.94vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.71+5.43vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.40+5.79vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.18+1.46vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.74+2.29vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.99+0.25vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.27-1.72vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.82-0.87vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin3.04-2.53vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.36vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.53-3.09vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.67-4.38vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-5.49vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-4.52vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.35-10.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.34Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.87Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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4.94Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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10.43Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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11.79Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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8.46Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.29Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.25University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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8.28Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.13Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.47University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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9.64U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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10.91Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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10.62George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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10.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.0%1st Place
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12.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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7.52Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 11.1% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Morgan Kiss | 16.2% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% |
| Rachel Austin | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 13.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Sarah Mace | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Sky Adams | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% |
| Laura Wefer | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% |
| Laura Dunphy | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% |
| Christina Frost | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 18.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.