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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute0.39+1.04vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+1.01vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.77+0.29vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.37-1.21vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.31-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04Webb Institute0.3941.7%1st Place
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3.01SUNY Stony Brook-0.5816.2%1st Place
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3.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.7713.7%1st Place
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2.79Syracuse University-0.3720.5%1st Place
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3.88SUNY Stony Brook-1.317.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Heilshorn | 41.7% | 28.0% | 18.2% | 9.2% | 2.9% |
| Ryan Magill | 16.2% | 22.0% | 22.6% | 23.3% | 16.0% |
| Gus Schoenbucher | 13.7% | 15.8% | 21.8% | 25.4% | 23.2% |
| Alec Wyers | 20.5% | 23.2% | 23.9% | 21.2% | 11.1% |
| Adam Zeng | 7.8% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 20.9% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.