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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute0.39+1.03vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.37+0.79vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.77+0.29vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.58-0.95vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.31-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03Webb Institute0.3939.1%1st Place
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2.79Syracuse University-0.3720.9%1st Place
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3.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.7713.3%1st Place
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3.05SUNY Stony Brook-0.5817.6%1st Place
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3.84SUNY Stony Brook-1.319.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Heilshorn | 39.1% | 31.4% | 18.2% | 9.2% | 2.0% |
| Alec Wyers | 20.9% | 23.1% | 24.3% | 19.9% | 11.8% |
| Gus Schoenbucher | 13.3% | 17.1% | 21.1% | 23.9% | 24.6% |
| Ryan Magill | 17.6% | 18.6% | 21.7% | 25.5% | 16.5% |
| Adam Zeng | 9.0% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 21.6% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.