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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+7.71vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+8.70vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+9.60vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.88+5.67vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.82+4.91vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84-0.13vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.10-1.97vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.40+3.70vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College3.14-0.39vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.99-0.45vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.53+0.32vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.58-0.52vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.04-4.12vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.71-3.82vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.35-7.30vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.67-5.24vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.27-8.77vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.74-7.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.71Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.0%1st Place
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12.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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9.67U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.91Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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5.87University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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5.03Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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11.7Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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8.61Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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9.55University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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11.32Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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11.48Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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10.18Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.7Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.76George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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8.23Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.11Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Laura Dunphy | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% |
| Christina Frost | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 17.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% |
| Sky Adams | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.4% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Austin | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 13.3% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.4% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.9% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% |
| Sarah Mace | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.