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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute0.39+1.00vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+1.00vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.37-0.13vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-1.31-0.12vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.77-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0Webb Institute0.3942.6%1st Place
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3.0SUNY Stony Brook-0.5816.9%1st Place
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2.87Syracuse University-0.3719.1%1st Place
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3.88SUNY Stony Brook-1.318.0%1st Place
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3.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.7713.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Heilshorn | 42.6% | 28.8% | 17.4% | 8.6% | 2.5% |
| Ryan Magill | 16.9% | 21.6% | 21.9% | 23.8% | 15.8% |
| Alec Wyers | 19.1% | 22.4% | 24.2% | 21.1% | 13.1% |
| Adam Zeng | 8.0% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 20.9% | 47.0% |
| Gus Schoenbucher | 13.4% | 16.2% | 23.3% | 25.4% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.