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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.53+10.46vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+3.12vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+3.08vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.99+5.28vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.73vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.27+2.16vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.74+3.50vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin3.04+1.05vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College3.14-0.29vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.35-1.91vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.71-0.28vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.58-0.47vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-0.75vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-5.06vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.40-3.15vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.82-5.79vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.18-8.28vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.67-7.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.46Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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5.12Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.28University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.16Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.5Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.05University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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8.71Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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8.09Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.72Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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11.53Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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12.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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8.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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11.85Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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10.21Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.72Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.59George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Watson | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 10.6% |
| Morgan Kiss | 12.4% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.9% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.1% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 12.0% |
| Christina Frost | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 17.3% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Rachel Austin | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.9% |
| Sky Adams | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.