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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute0.39+0.99vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.77+1.28vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.37-0.15vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.58-0.96vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.31-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99Webb Institute0.3942.5%1st Place
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3.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.7713.0%1st Place
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2.85Syracuse University-0.3719.2%1st Place
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3.04SUNY Stony Brook-0.5816.8%1st Place
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3.83SUNY Stony Brook-1.318.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Heilshorn | 42.5% | 28.9% | 17.8% | 8.1% | 2.6% |
| Gus Schoenbucher | 13.0% | 17.6% | 20.6% | 25.7% | 23.1% |
| Alec Wyers | 19.2% | 23.2% | 23.7% | 21.0% | 13.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 16.8% | 19.7% | 23.0% | 24.4% | 16.2% |
| Adam Zeng | 8.6% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 20.8% | 45.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.