← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College3.14+7.99vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.18+6.78vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+6.49vs Predicted
-
4Boston College3.35+3.72vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.74vs Predicted
-
6Yale University4.10-0.98vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University2.71+3.61vs Predicted
-
8Stanford University3.27+0.08vs Predicted
-
9Boston University2.74+1.41vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island3.84-3.87vs Predicted
-
11University of Wisconsin3.04-1.67vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University2.40+0.24vs Predicted
-
13Brown University2.82-3.06vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University2.67-3.62vs Predicted
-
15Harvard University2.53-3.73vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont2.99-6.59vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-4.45vs Predicted
-
18Bowdoin College2.58-7.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.99Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
-
8.78Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
9.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
-
7.72Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
9.74U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
5.02Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
-
10.61Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
-
8.08Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
-
10.41Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
-
6.13University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
9.33University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
-
12.24Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
-
9.94Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
-
10.38George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
-
11.27Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
-
9.41University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
-
12.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
-
10.91Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melany Johnson | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.0% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Rachel Austin | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 16.0% |
| Sky Adams | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% |
| Christina Frost | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 19.3% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.