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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute0.39+0.98vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.37+0.85vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+0.06vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.77-0.75vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.31-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98Webb Institute0.3941.9%1st Place
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2.85Syracuse University-0.3719.3%1st Place
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3.06SUNY Stony Brook-0.5816.6%1st Place
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3.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.7713.9%1st Place
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3.87SUNY Stony Brook-1.318.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Heilshorn | 41.9% | 30.9% | 17.3% | 7.7% | 2.2% |
| Alec Wyers | 19.3% | 22.0% | 25.6% | 20.8% | 12.3% |
| Ryan Magill | 16.6% | 19.4% | 22.8% | 24.6% | 16.8% |
| Gus Schoenbucher | 13.9% | 17.9% | 20.3% | 24.9% | 22.9% |
| Adam Zeng | 8.4% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 22.0% | 45.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.