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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+5.15vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+6.40vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.67+8.02vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.74+6.30vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.58+6.04vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.99+3.44vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.10-1.94vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.71+2.52vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.40+2.97vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.82+0.35vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.53+0.47vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-1.73vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College3.14-4.43vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-5.08vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin3.04-5.89vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-3.93vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.18-8.25vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.35-10.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.4Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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11.02George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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10.3Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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11.04Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.44University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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5.06Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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10.52Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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11.97Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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10.35Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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11.47Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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10.27U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.57Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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8.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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9.11University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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12.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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8.75Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.58Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 10.8% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Hannah McNomee | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% |
| Morgan Kiss | 16.0% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% |
| Rachel Austin | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.5% |
| Sky Adams | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 11.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 15.6% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.