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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute0.39+1.01vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.37+0.77vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+0.06vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.77-0.72vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.31-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Webb Institute0.3943.0%1st Place
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2.77Syracuse University-0.3720.5%1st Place
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3.06SUNY Stony Brook-0.5815.7%1st Place
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3.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.7713.5%1st Place
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3.88SUNY Stony Brook-1.317.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Heilshorn | 43.0% | 28.0% | 17.6% | 8.1% | 3.3% |
| Alec Wyers | 20.5% | 24.5% | 24.1% | 18.9% | 11.9% |
| Ryan Magill | 15.7% | 20.4% | 23.2% | 23.6% | 17.1% |
| Gus Schoenbucher | 13.5% | 16.4% | 21.0% | 26.9% | 22.2% |
| Adam Zeng | 7.3% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 22.4% | 45.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.