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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.14+8.00vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+6.01vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.27+5.37vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.18+4.46vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.74+5.35vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.40+5.97vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.58+4.16vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.10-3.03vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.84-3.18vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin3.04-0.55vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-1.59vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-1.76vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.99-3.77vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.53-2.99vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.71-4.37vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.67-5.17vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.82-6.73vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-6.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.0Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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8.01Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.37Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.46Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.35Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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11.97Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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11.16Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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4.97Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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5.82University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.45University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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9.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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10.24U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.23University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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11.01Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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10.63Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.83George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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10.27Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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11.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melany Johnson | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% |
| Rachel Austin | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 15.4% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.4% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.9% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 6.3% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% |
| Sky Adams | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.