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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.02+0.60vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.77+1.38vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+0.10vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-1.31-0.08vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.37-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.6Webb Institute1.0258.0%1st Place
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3.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.779.0%1st Place
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3.1SUNY Stony Brook-0.5813.4%1st Place
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3.92SUNY Stony Brook-1.315.9%1st Place
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2.99Syracuse University-0.3713.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burke Kanemasu | 58.0% | 27.5% | 11.1% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Gus Schoenbucher | 9.0% | 17.8% | 22.3% | 27.4% | 23.5% |
| Ryan Magill | 13.4% | 21.3% | 24.1% | 24.0% | 17.2% |
| Adam Zeng | 5.9% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 21.6% | 46.6% |
| Alec Wyers | 13.7% | 22.7% | 27.3% | 23.8% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.