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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+7.40vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+4.06vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.71+7.91vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College3.14+4.66vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.82+5.04vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.18+2.62vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.99+2.31vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.76vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.58+2.19vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.10-4.77vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-1.56vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.40+0.27vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.53-1.88vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.35-6.38vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-3.04vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.67-5.17vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.04-7.66vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.74-7.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.4Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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6.06University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.91Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.66Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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10.04Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.62Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.31University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.76U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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11.19Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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5.23Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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12.27Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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11.12Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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7.62Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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10.83George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.34University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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10.25Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 7.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| Sky Adams | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.9% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% |
| Rachel Austin | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 17.4% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 13.6% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.