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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.21+7.23vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.87+7.73vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.01+6.05vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.51+6.76vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.74+0.96vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.96+3.03vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.34+7.99vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.09+4.49vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-1.96vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.97-0.72vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.02-2.02vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.63-5.28vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-2.64vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.71-4.17vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.42-7.94vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.58-5.26vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.73-6.77vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.56-7.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.23Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.73Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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9.05Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.76George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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5.96Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.03University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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14.99University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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12.49Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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7.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.28Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.98University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.72Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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10.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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9.83U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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7.06Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.74Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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10.23Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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10.53Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Williams | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.9% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 5.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.8% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Amina Brown | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 46.9% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 15.9% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Lily Katz | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 3.8% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 5.4% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 3.4% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.