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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.02+0.68vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+1.30vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.27-0.04vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.37-0.95vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.31-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.68Webb Institute1.0255.1%1st Place
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3.3SUNY Stony Brook-0.5810.5%1st Place
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2.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.2714.1%1st Place
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3.05Syracuse University-0.3714.4%1st Place
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4.01SUNY Stony Brook-1.315.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burke Kanemasu | 55.1% | 27.7% | 11.7% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Magill | 10.5% | 17.8% | 23.9% | 26.7% | 21.1% |
| Josh Beavis | 14.1% | 24.1% | 25.9% | 23.8% | 12.0% |
| Alec Wyers | 14.4% | 21.8% | 24.7% | 22.9% | 16.2% |
| Adam Zeng | 5.9% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 22.1% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.